About

Uncover realm of uncertainty.

Wilderness rewards those who study it, not those who admire it from a distance. Wealth works the same way. Every mountain looks unconquerable until someone decides to understand it. That is where opportunity begins.

Hi, I go by “brencuan” on purpose. Just not ready to go public yet.

Fair warning before you read further: I am not an expert, and I have no intention of pretending to be one. What I am is genuinely curious. Someone who finds it hard to look at a stock price without first asking what the central bank did last quarter, or what is quietly shifting in the global monetary order. This blog is a record of that curiosity, not a source of financial advice.

My background is in Economics. I invest in both the Indonesian and American equity markets, which keeps me busy connecting dots across very different regulatory environments, monetary cycles, and market behaviors.

I hold a strong conviction that everything in finance begins with macroeconomics. Asset prices, credit cycles, currency movements are all downstream effects of broader structural forces. I try to trace things back to their root before forming any view.

I am also working through a self-imposed certification roadmap, in rough order of timing:

  1. CMSA – Capital Market and Security Analyst (currently ongoing)
  2. FMVA – Financial Modelling and Valuation Analyst
  3. WMI – Wakil Manajer Investasi
  4. PI Berizin OJK – Penasihat Investasi, licensed by Otoritas Jasa Keuangan
  5. CMT – Chartered Market Technician
  6. CFA – Chartered Financial Analyst
  7. CFP – Certified Financial Planner

It is a long road. I am walking it deliberately.

Read with discretion. Disagree when you must. Leave a comment either way.